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Trustees Reports - social Security Administration


a good summary

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The balances in the trust funds, which represent the accumulated value, including interest, of all prior program annual surpluses and deficits, provide automatic authority to pay benefits. What Were the Trust Fund Operations in 2017 In 2017,.5 million people received oasi benefits,.4 million received di benefits, and.4 million were covered under Medicare. A summary of Social Security and Medicare trust fund operations is shown below (Table 1). The oasi, di, and hi trust Funds asset reserves increased in 2017; smi trust Fund reserves declined by 8 billion. 2, table 1: trust fund operations, 2017 (in billions oasi di hi smi, reserves (end of 2016) 2,801.3.3 199.1.6 Income during 2017 825.6 171.0 299.4 405.7 Cost during 2017 806.7 145.8 296.5 413.6 Net change in Reserves.0.1.8 -7.9 Reserves (end. Table 2 shows payments, by category, from each trust fund in 2017. Table 2: program cost, 2017 (in billions) Category ( in billions ) oasi di hi smi benefit payments 798.7 142.8 293.9 408.7 railroad Retirement financial interchange.3.2 — — administrative expenses.7.8.2.9 Total 806.7 145.8 296.5.6 Note: Totals. Trust fund income, by source, in 2017 is shown in Table.

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Congress established trust funds managed by the secretary of the Treasury to account for Social Security and Medicare income and disbursements. The Treasury credits Social Security and Medicare taxes, premiums, and other income to the funds. There are four separate trust funds. For essay where Social Security, the oasi trust Fund pays retirement and survivors benefits and the di trust Fund pays disability benefits. For Medicare, the hi trust Fund pays for inpatient hospital and related care. The smi trust Fund comprises two separate accounts: Part b, which pays for physician and outpatient services, and Part d, which covers prescription drug benefits. The only disbursements permitted from the funds are benefit payments and administrative expenses. Federal law requires that all excess funds be invested in interest-bearing securities backed by the full faith and credit of the United States. The department of the Treasury currently invests all program revenues in special non-marketable securities of the. Government which earn interest equal to rates on marketable securities with durations defined in law.

Reserves in Medicares Hospital Insurance (HI) Trust Fund increased.8 billion to a total of 202.0 billion at the end of 2017. The Trustees project that the hi trust Fund will be able to pay full benefits until taxi 2026, three years earlier than indicated in last years Medicare report. The changed outlook is attributable to adverse changes in both program income and costs. Hi income is projected to be lower than last years estimates due to (i) lower payroll taxes attributable to lowered wages in 2017 and lower levels of projected gdp and (ii) reduced income from the taxation of Social Security benefits as a result of legislation. Hi expenditures are expected to be higher than last years estimates due to higher-than-anticipated spending in 2017, legislation that increases hospital spending, and higher Medicare Advantage payments. The hi actuarial deficit.82 percent of taxable payroll over the 75-year projection period,.18 percentage point larger than projected in last years report, and equivalent.4 percent of gdp through 2092. The supplementary medical Insurance (SMI) Trust Fund held 88 billion in assets at the end of 2017 and is expected to be adequately financed over the next 10 years and beyond because premium income and general revenue income are reset each year to cover expected. What Are the Trust Funds?

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In 2017, social Securitys reserves increased by 44 billion to reach.9 trillion by the years end. Under the intermediate assumptions, the disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund will be able to pay full benefits until 2032, four years later than projected in last years Social Security report. The improved outlook is due to lower projected disability incidence rates in the near term and lower average benefit levels for disabled workers awarded in 2017 and thereafter. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (oasi) Trust Fund is able to pay full benefits until 2034, one year earlier than projected in last years report. The projected depletion date for the combined oasdi funds, as reported last year. Over the 75-year projection period, social Security faces an actuarial deficit.84 percent of taxable payroll, up from the.83 percent figure projected last year. The actuarial deficit equals.0 percent of gdp through 2092.

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For a number of years, the Trustees methodology for projecting Medicare finances over the long term has assumed a substantial reduction in per capita health expenditure growth rates relative to historical experience. In addition, the Trustees have in several recent Trustees Reports revised down the projections for near-term Medicare expenditure growth in light of the recent favorable experience, in part due to effects of payment changes and delivery system reform that are changing health care practices. The Trustees have not assumed additional long-term cost growth reductions arising from structural changes in the delivery system that may result from new payment mechanisms in the medicare Access and chip reauthorization Act of 2015 and the cost-reduction incentives in the Affordable care Act,. Notwithstanding the assumption of a substantial slowdown of per capita health expenditure growth, the projections indicate that Medicare still faces a substantial financial shortfall that will need to be addressed with further legislation. Such legislation should be enacted sooner rather than later to minimize the impact on beneficiaries, providers, and taxpayers. Conclusion, lawmakers have many policy options that would reduce or eliminate the long-term financing shortfalls in Social Security and Medicare. Lawmakers should address these financial challenges as soon as possible.

Taking action sooner rather than later will permit consideration of a broader range of solutions and provide more time to phase in changes so that the public has adequate time to prepare. By the Trustees: Steven. Mnuchin, secretary of the Treasury, and Managing Trustee of the Trust Funds. Azar ii, secretary of health and Human Services, and Trustee. Alexander Acosta, secretary of Labor, and Trustee. Nancy rryhill, Acting Commissioner of, social Security, and Trustee. A summary of the 2018 plan annual social security and medicare trust fund reports.

The Trustees project that the share of hi cost that can be financed with hi dedicated revenues will decline slowly to 78 percent in 2039, and will then rise gradually to 85 percent in 2092. The hi fund again fails the test of short-range financial adequacy, as its trust fund ratio is already below 100 percent of annual costs, and is expected to decline continuously until reserve depletion in 2026. The hi trust Funds projected 75-year actuarial deficit.82 percent of taxable payroll, which represents.4 percent of gdp through 2092, or 21 percent of non-interest income, or 17 percent of program cost. This estimate is up from.64 percent of taxable payroll projected in last years report. Shifting the valuation period forward one year to 20 increased the actuarial deficit expressed as a share of taxable payroll.01 percentage point. The remaining.17 percentage point increase in the actuarial deficit was primarily due to lower projected payroll tax income, higher expenditures in 2017, higher payments to medicare Advantage plans, and legislation that increased expenditures.


For smi, the Trustees project that both Part b and Part D will remain adequately financed into the indefinite future because current law provides financing from general revenues and beneficiary premiums each year to meet the next years expected costs. However, the aging population and rising health care costs cause smi projected costs to grow steadily from.1 percent of gdp in 2017 to approximately.6 percent of gdp in 2037, and to then increase more slowly.9 percent of gdp by 2092. General revenues will finance roughly three-quarters of smi costs, and premiums paid by beneficiaries almost all of the remaining quarter. Smi also receives a small amount of financing from special payments by States, and from fees on manufacturers and importers of brand-name prescription drugs. The Trustees project that total Medicare costs (including both hi and smi expenditures) will grow from approximately.7 percent of gdp in 2017.8 percent of gdp by 2038, and then increase gradually thereafter to about.2 percent of gdp by 2092. Since 2008, national health expenditure (NHE) growth has been below historical averages, although recently it is again outpacing growth of the economy. There is uncertainty regarding the degree to which this slowdown reflects the impacts of the recent economic downturn and other non-persistent factors, as opposed to structural changes in the health care sector that may continue to produce cost savings in the years ahead. It is possible that. Health care practices are becoming more efficient as new payment models develop and providers anticipate less rapid growth of reimbursement rates in both the public and private sectors than has occurred during the past several decades.

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Expressed as a share of gdp, program costs equaled.9 percent of gdp in 2017, and the Trustees project these costs will increase.1 percent of gdp by 2038, decline.9 percent of gdp by 2052, and thereafter rise slowly, reaching.1 percent. Medicare, the medicare program has two separate trust funds, the hospital Insurance (HI) Trust Fund and the supplementary medical Insurance (SMI) Trust Fund. Hi, otherwise known as Medicare part a, helps pay for hospital, home health services following hospital stays, skilled nursing facility, and hospice care for the aged and disabled. Smi consists of separate accounts for Medicare part b and Part. Part B helps pay for physician, writing outpatient hospital, home health, and other services for the aged and disabled who have voluntarily enrolled. Part D provides subsidized access to drug insurance coverage on a voluntary basis for all beneficiaries, as well as premium and cost-sharing subsidies for low-income enrollees. The Trustees project that the hi trust Fund will be depleted in 2026, three years earlier than projected in last years report. At that time dedicated revenues will be sufficient to pay 91 percent of hi costs.

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Disability applications have been declining steadily since 2010, and the total number of disabled-worker beneficiaries in current payment status has been falling since 2014. The Trustees assume that the recent favorable experience with di applications and awards is temporary, and that by 2027 di incidence rates will return to levels projected in last years report. Accordingly, the projected 75-year actuarial deficit (0.21 percent of taxable payroll) for di is little changed from last year (0.24 percent). Social Securitys total cost is projected to exceed its total income (including interest) in 2018 for the first time since 1982, and to remain higher throughout the projection period. Social Securitys cost will be financed with a representative combination of non-interest income, interest income, and net redemptions of trust fund asset reserves from the general Fund of the Treasury until 2034 when the oasdi reserves will be depleted. Thereafter, scheduled tax income is projected to be sufficient to pay about three-quarters of scheduled benefits through the end of the projection period in 2092. The ratio of reserves to one years projected cost (the combined trust fund ratio) peaked in 2008, generally declined through 2017, and is expected to decline steadily until the trust fund reserves are depleted in 2034. Under current projections, the annual cost of Social Security benefits expressed as a share of workers taxable earnings will grow from.7 percent in 2017 to roughly.8 percent in 2039, and will then decline slightly before slowly increasing after 2051.

the funds fail the test of long-range close actuarial balance. The Trustees project that the combined trust funds will be depleted in 2034, the same year projected in last years report. The projected 75-year actuarial deficit for the oasdi trust Funds.84 percent of taxable payroll, up slightly from.83 percent projected in last years report. This deficit amounts.0 percent of gdp over the 75-year time period, or 21 percent of program non-interest income, or 17 percent of program cost. A.06 percentage point increase in the oasdi actuarial deficit would have been expected if nothing had changed other than the one-year shift in the valuation period from 20 to 20The effects of updated demographic, economic, and programmatic data, and improved methodologies, collectively reduced the. Considered separately, the di trust Fund reserves become depleted in 2032 and the oasi trust Fund reserves become depleted in 2034. In last years report, the projected reserve depletion years were 2028 for di and 2035 for oasi. The change in the reserve depletion date for di is largely due to continuing favorable experience for di applications and benefit awards. In addition, average benefit levels for disabled-worker beneficiaries were lower than expected in 2017, and are expected to be lower in the future.

Consequently, even when there are positive trust fund balances, any drawdown of those balances, as well as general fund transfers into medicares Supplementary medical Insurance (SMI) fund and interest payments to the trust funds that are used to pay benefits, increase pressure on the unified. Both Social Security and Medicare will experience cost growth substantially in excess of gdp growth through the mid-2030s due to rapid population aging caused by the large baby-boom generation entering retirement and lower-birth-rate generations entering employment. For Medicare, it is also the case that growth in expenditures per beneficiary exceeds growth in per capita gdp over this time period. In later years, projected costs expressed as a share of gdp rise slowly for Medicare and are relatively flat for Social Security, reflecting very gradual population aging caused by increasing longevity and slower growth in per-beneficiary health care costs. Social Security, the social Security program provides workers and their families with retirement, disability, and survivors insurance benefits. Workers earn these benefits by paying into the system during their working years. Over the programs 83-year history, it has collected roughly.9 trillion and paid out.0 trillion, leaving asset reserves.9 trillion at the end of 2017 in its two trust funds. The Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (oasi) Trust Fund, which pays retirement and survivors benefits, and the disability Insurance (DI) Trust Fund, which pays disability benefits, are by law separate entities. However, to summarize overall Social Security finances, the Trustees have traditionally emphasized the financial status of the hypothetical combined oasi and di trust Funds.

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A message to the public: Each year the Trustees of the social Security and Medicare trust funds report on the current and projected financial status of the two programs. This message summarizes the 2018 Annual Reports. Both Social Security and Medicare face long-term financing shortfalls under currently scheduled benefits and financing. Lawmakers have a broad continuum of policy options that story would close or reduce the long-term financing shortfall of both programs. The Trustees recommend that lawmakers take action sooner rather than later to address these shortfalls, so that a broader range of solutions can be considered and more time will be available to phase in changes while giving the public adequate time to prepare. Earlier action will also help elected officials minimize adverse impacts on vulnerable populations, including lower-income workers and people already dependent on program benefits. Social Security and Medicare together accounted for 42 percent of Federal program expenditures in fiscal year 2017. The unified budget reflects current trust fund operations.


A good summary
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